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怎样判断股票的底部?

问:怎样判断股票的底部?

在股票市场上,个股不可能会出现一直上涨的情况,也不可能一直下跌下去,一般下跌到一定程度之后,会出现反弹的情况,那么,投资者如何判断股票已经到底部了呢?

本人喜欢以月线级别为基础判断。(以下均以月线考量作参考,用寒武纪为例子)

怎样判断股票的底部?

特征1.均线:

以月21均线为标准,启动前一直被月21均线压制着,没突破月21均线前都是底部区间,不宜介入。(上图黄线是月21均线

特征2.成交量:

以放量突破21月均线为标准,资金是股价上涨的决定因素,股价需要资金的推动,当资金放量突破21月均线代表行情要走出底部区间。如图1,寒武纪1月总成交20.2亿,2月份总成交170亿,2月股价收83.97元,放量突破21月均线75.37元。

怎样判断股票的底部?

特征3.月MACD底背离:

股价往下走,创新低,月macd指标绿柱收窄,往上走。

怎样判断股票的底部?

特征4.月线资金累积流入:

月线级别累计资金流入大于累计资金流出,净流入为正时,代表行情要走出底部区间。(上图紫色线为累计资金流入,黄色线为累计资金流出)

怎样判断股票的底部?

特征5.月线主力进场,吸筹明显:

明显的看到主力进场吸筹的红柱出现,红柱越高,出现的次数越多代表主力进场资金越多,后期推动股价上涨的动力越足,股票上涨的潜力越大,具体如上图所示。

综上所述:要判断一只股票是不是跌到了阶段性底部,我们可以结合股票的月21均线、月成交量、月macd底背离,月线资金累积流入,月线主力进场吸筹等5个方面进行综合判断。

最后附资金流入流出指标和主力行为指标代码:

资金流入流出指标

CN1:=HHV(V,5);{5日最高量}

CN2:=O> C;

CN02:=C> O;

CN03:=C= O;

CN04:=((SUM(V,5)/CN1));

CN05:=IF(CN04> 0.3,1,0);{大资金}

CN06:=IF(CN2 AND CN05,V,0);{大资金流出}

CN07:=IF(CN02 AND CN05,V,0);{大资金流入}

CN08:=IF(CN03 AND CN05,V,0);{不明流向大资金}

累积资金流入:SUM(CN07,9),COLORMAGENTA;

累积资金流出:SUM(CN06,9);

净流入:(累积资金流入-累积资金流出),COLOR0000FF;

净流入MA3:MA(净流入,3),DOTLINE,COLORBLUE;

净流入MA5:MA(净流入,5),DOTLINE,COLORWHITE;

不明流向大资金:SUM(CN08,9),COLORGREEN;

{资金流向}

QJJ:=VOL / ((H - L) * 2 - ABS(C - O));

XVL:=IF(C > O,QJJ * (H - L),IF(C <

O,QJJ * (H - O + (C - L)),VOL / 2)) + IF(C > O,0 - QJJ * (H - C

+ (O - L)),IF(C < O,0 - QJJ * (H - L),0 - VOL / 2));

HSL:=XVL / 20 / 1.15;

攻击流量:=HSL * 0.55 + REF(HSL,1) * 0.33 + REF(HSL,2) *

0.22;

GJJ:=EMA(攻击流量,8);

{流量基线‰:GJJ*1000,COLOR00BBBB,COLORGREEN;};

{----------------------}

GJTJ1:=100*(C-LLV(L,5))/(HHV(C,5)-LLV(L,5));

GJTJ2:=100*(C-LLV(L,10))/(HHV(C,10)-LLV(L,10));

GJTJ3:=100*(C-LLV(L,20))/(HHV(C,20)-LLV(L,20));

GJTJ4:=100*(C-LLV(L,30))/(HHV(C,30)-LLV(L,30));

BAIJIN1:=BARSLAST(CROSS(30,GJTJ1))< 2 AND

BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ1,50))< 2;

BAIJIN2:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ1))< 2

AND GJTJ1> GJTJ4;

BAIJIN3:=GJTJ1> 60 AND GJTJ4>

70;

DRAWTEXT(BAIJIN1 AND BAIJIN2 AND

BAIJIN3,净流入*0.96,'白金'),COLORWHITE;

HUANGJIN1:=BARSLAST(CROSS(50,GJTJ1))< 3

AND BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ1,50))< 3;

HUANGJIN2:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ1))<

2 AND GJTJ1> GJTJ4;

DRAWTEXT(HUANGJIN1 AND

HUANGJIN2,净流入*0.98,'黄金'),COLORYELLOW;

XG:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ1))<

5 AND GJTJ1> GJTJ4;

ZHENCANG1:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ1))> 3 AND

BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ1,GJTJ4))< 3;

ZHENCANG2:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ2));

ZHENCANG3:=GJTJ3< GJTJ4 AND GJTJ2<

GJTJ4;

ZHENCANG4:=BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ4,GJTJ3))>

3 AND BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ1,GJTJ4))< 3;

ZHENCANG5:=GJTJ2< GJTJ3 AND GJTJ2<

GJTJ4 AND GJTJ2< GJTJ1 AND GJTJ1= 100;

ZCB1:=ZHENCANG1> 0 AND REF(ZHENCANG1,1)=

0 AND REF(ZHENCANG1,2)> 0;

DRAWTEXT(ZHENCANG1 AND ZHENCANG2 AND

ZHENCANG3 AND ZHENCANG4 AND ZHENCANG5,净流入*0.94,'震仓买入');

AA:=BARSLAST(CROSS(97,GJTJ1))<= 1 AND

BARSLAST(CROSS(GJTJ1,85))<

主力行为指标:

VAR1:=REF((LOW+OPEN+CLOSE+HIGH)/4,1);

VAR2:=SMA(ABS(LOW-VAR1),13,1)/SMA(MAX(LOW-VAR1,0),10,1);

VAR3:=EMA(VAR2,10);

VAR4:=LLV(LOW,33);

VAR5:=EMA(IF(LOW<=VAR4,VAR3,0),3);

Z:0,COLORBLACK;{}

主力进场:IF(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),VAR5,0),COLORRED,NODRAW;

洗盘:IF(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),VAR5,0),COLORGREEN,NODRAW;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,3,0),COLORGREEN;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,3,0 ),COLOR000055;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,2.6,0 ),COLOR000077;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,2.1,0 ),COLOR000099;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,1.5,0 ),COLOR0000BB;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,0.9,0 ),COLOR0000DD;

STICKLINE(VAR5>REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,0.3,0 ),COLOR0000FF;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,3,0),COLOR005500;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,2.6,0),COLOR007700;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,2.1,0),COLOR009900;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,1.5,0),COLOR00BB00;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,0.9,0),COLOR00DD00;

STICKLINE(VAR5<REF(VAR5,1),0,VAR5,0.3,0),COLOR00FF00;

VAR21:=SMA(ABS(HIGH-VAR1),13,1)/SMA(MIN(HIGH-VAR1,0),10,1);

VAR31:=EMA(VAR21,10);

VAR41:=HHV(HIGH,33);

VAR51:=EMA(IF(HIGH>=VAR41,VAR31,0),3);

主力拉高:IF(VAR51<REF(VAR51,1),VAR51,0),COLORYELLOW,NODRAW;

STICKLINE(VAR51<REF(VAR51,1),0,VAR51,3,0),COLORYELLOW;

出货:IF(VAR51>REF(VAR51,1),VAR51,0),COLORCYAN,NODRAW;

STICKLINE(VAR51>REF(VAR51,1),0,VAR51,3,0 ),COLORCYAN;

DRAWTEXT_FIX(1,0.0,5,0,''),COLORYELLOW;

优秀作者:股票之道